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Advisory - Tropical System Omar

HURRICANE TEDDY ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
500 PM AST FRI SEP 18 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR BERMUDA AS MAJOR HURRICANE
TEDDY CONTINUES TO HEAD NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...LARGE SWELLS ARE SPREADING ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 57.0W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 795 MI...1275 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.08 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.


FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST.  TEDDY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK,
TEDDY WILL BE APPROACHING BERMUDA LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY.

NOAA AND U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED 
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH (205 
KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  TEDDY IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE 
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH 
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY, AND A WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TO 
BEGIN LATE THIS WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM) FROM THE 
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES 
(370 KM).

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE AIRCRAFT IS 951 MB 
(28.08 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TEDDY CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT45 KNHC
AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/TEXT/MIATCDAT5.SHTML.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA AND
THE NEARBY WATERS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THESE CONDITIONS MAY LINGER
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY MONDAY.

SURF:  LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY TEDDY ARE AFFECTING THE LESSER
ANTILLES, THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA, THE GREATER
ANTILLES, AND THE BAHAMAS, AND WILL SPREAD TO BERMUDA AND THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES BY SATURDAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  PLEASE
CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

Hurricane(Cat. 3) Omar
Latitude 23.1N
Longitude 57.0W
Maximum Winds 125 MPH
Pressure 951 MB
Direction/Speed NW @ 14 MPH

Last Updated: 500 PM AST



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